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TZID:America/Halifax
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TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
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TZNAME:ADT
DTSTART:20210314T060000
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DTSTART:20211107T050000
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DTSTART;TZID=America/Halifax:20210920T150000
DTEND;TZID=America/Halifax:20210920T163000
DTSTAMP:20260609T085056
CREATED:20200615T150024Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20211102T194406Z
UID:6167-1632150000-1632155400@aarms.math.ca
SUMMARY:AARMS COVID-19 Seminar:  Theodore Kolokolnikov (Dalhousie)
DESCRIPTION:Modelling of disease spread through heterogeneous population\nWe present a simple model of disease spread that incorporates spatial variability in population density. Starting from first principles\, we derive a novel PDE with state-dependent diffusion. Consistent with observations\, this model exhibits higher infection rates in the areas of higher population density. The model also exhibits an infection wave whose speed varies with population density. In addition\, we demonstrate the possibility of super-diffusive propagation of infection\, whereby an infection can “jump” across areas of low population density towards the areas of high population density. Finally\, a case study of coronavirus spread in the Canadian province of Nova Scotia is presented with qualitatively similar features as our model\, including density-dependent infection rates and infection that jumps across main population centers. \n[ recording ] \nMore information about this seminar series.  This is a virtual zoom seminar.  If you would like to attend\, please email the organizers for connection details.  All times are given in the Atlantic timezone.
URL:https://aarms.math.ca/event/aarms-covid-19-seminar-2021-09-20/
LOCATION:Zoom seminar
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