Scenario-based modeling of healthcare demand and PPE usage during the COVID-19 pandemic

One of the big risks during the current pandemic is stress and overburdening of the healthcare system, and a possible scarcity of resources. We will present a three module model that projects possible epidemic outcomes and subsequently measures healthcare demand and PPE usage for different jurisdictions across Canada. We present as well a simple model which we fit to current cases with some novel sampling techniques which allows us to narrow possible trajectories which can then be fed into the healthcare demand and PPE modules. We show results for possible outcomes from each of our three modules and from our fitting techniques.

This is a virtual zoom seminar.  If you would like to attend, please email the organizers for connection details.