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July 2020

AARMS COVID-19 Seminar: Matthew Betti (Mount Allison)* and Jane Heffernan (York)

July 8, 2020 @ 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
Zoom seminar

Scenario-based modeling of healthcare demand and PPE usage during the COVID-19 pandemic One of the big risks during the current pandemic is stress and overburdening of the healthcare system, and a possible scarcity of resources. We will present a three module model that projects possible epidemic outcomes and subsequently measures healthcare demand and PPE usage for different jurisdictions across Canada. We present as well a simple model which we fit to current cases with some novel sampling techniques which allows…

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AARMS COVID-19 Seminar: Sana Jahedi (UNB) and James A. Yorke (Maryland)

July 15, 2020 @ 3:00 pm - 4:30 pm
Zoom seminar

When the best pandemic models are the simplest As a pandemic of coronavirus spreads across the globe, people debate policies to mitigate its severity. Many complex, highly detailed models have been developed to help policy setters make better decisions. However, the basis of these models is unlikely to be understood by non-experts. We describe the advantages of simple models for covid-19. We say a model is “simple’’ if its only parameter is the rate of contact between people in the…

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COVID-19 impacts on AARMS activities